Market Preview: A Deal in the Works
By Michael Baron - 06/28/12 - 6:54 PM EDT
NEW YORK (TheStreet
) -- It's getting hard to keep track but it seems like market expectations for the big eurozone summit just went from nothing to something.
The major U.S. equity indices all significantly pared their losses
late in what was a mostly terrible session for stocks on Thursday without a clear catalyst for the turnaround in the final hour.
The credit now is being given to good old-fashioned media speculation
that the eurocrats may actually leave Brussels with some kind of compromise stimulus package in place. German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who holds all the cards at this confab, canceled a press conference late in the day, adding fuel to the fire.
The latest rumblings
appear to be coalescing around a roughly $150 billion stimulus package to help out the weakest member countries within the single-currency bloc.
There is some jockeying going on
apparently though as Spain and Italy are reportedly insisting on measures to provide quick relief from rising short-term borrowing costs that Germany is hesitant to sign off on.
The negotiations are expected to continue late into the night, so there's really no telling what headlines Wall Street will wake up to. It certainly seems like a deal is in the works, and now the market is betting on the emergence another "kick the can down the road"-type agreement at the very least.
After Thursday's recovery -- the Dow was able to recoup 150 points off its low -- a package could very well be greeted with a classic "sell the news" reaction. Then again, the eurocrats showing some facility for compromise and a big fat number in the billions attached to a stimulus package will give the bulls some credibility to maybe run stocks up again ahead of second-quarter reporting season, which will quickly gain momentum after Alcoa
kicks thing off on July 9. The big banks -- JPMorgan Chase
, Bank of America
etc. -- will follow shortly thereafter, giving traders of all stripes plenty of numbers to chew on.
As for Friday's scheduled news, Constellation Brands
and KB Home
are the only quarterly reports of note.
The economic calendar features personal income and spending data for May at 8:30 a.m. ET; the Chicago purchasing managers index for June at 9:45 a.m. ET; and the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment read at 9:55 a.m. ET.
Research In Motion
managed to do the impossible after Thursday's closing bell, disappointing an already thoroughly disillusioned Wall Street with its fiscal first-quarter results.
The BlackBerry maker offered up a potpourri of bad news
, reporting a much wider than anticipated loss for its fiscal first quarter, pushing back the launch of the BlackBerry 10 until the first calendar quarter of 2013 and announcing plans to lay off 5,000 employees, roughly 30% of its workforce.
The stock was last quoted at $7.73, down 15.3.%, on volume of nearly 7.4 million, according to Nasdaq.com
. Expect plenty of speculation about where the company goes from here from the sell side on Friday with the prospect of buyout getting turned over once again.
Also getting hit hard in late trades was Nike
, whose fiscal fourth-quarter earnings missed analyst expectations. The iconic sneaker maker reported a profit of $549 million, or $1.17 a share, on revenue of $6.47 billion for the three months ended in May, below the average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters
for earnings of $1.37 a share on revenue of $6.51 billion.
The company attributed the year-over-year decline in earnings to lower gross margin, higher SG&A spending, a higher effective tax rate and costs related to restructuring operations in western Europe. The stock was last quoted at $84.50, down nearly 13%, on volume of more than 2 million, according to Nasdaq.com
--Written by Michael Baron in New York.
>To contact the writer of this article, click here: Michael Baron
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